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信達(dá)證券CINDA SECURITIES單位：百萬(wàn)元單位：百萬(wàn)元2021A2022A2023E2024E2025E2021A2022A2023E2024E2025E17,09212,63315,41017,53022.35012,75410,80012.84116,0082028514,3419,99712,04115,01118,364營(yíng)業(yè)成本7,3796,6657,6559,71712,39600000營(yíng)業(yè)稅金及附加331276321400507應(yīng)收賬款2683831884342421,6441,7011,8312,2822,892預(yù)付賬款145182216257337管理貨用1,4201,5601,6352,0382,582存貨1,7621,6572,3831,3962,73600000其他576415582432671財(cái)務(wù)貨用362262-46非流動(dòng)資產(chǎn)22,10523,55923,08222,56622,013減值損失合計(jì)-22690001,5471,8731,8731,8731,873投資凈收益2333002312883656,8618,2087,8177,3536,832其他77-283949621,1941,1431,1431,1431,1431,9055391,6751,9152,346其他12,50312,33512,24812,19612,165營(yíng)業(yè)外收支0-6-10-10-1039,19736,19238,49240.09644,3631,9065331,6651,9052,33510,6807,77892519,90913,016所得稅5283978389591,176短期借款1971971961951951,3781378279461,160應(yīng)付票拇0000038-140-160-196應(yīng)付賬款2,8502,0983,0052,3933,8051,3401959671,1061,356其他7,6335,4836,0497,3219,017EBITDA3,8222,4632,4172,6353,021非流動(dòng)貞債84148,4718,4718,471EPS(當(dāng)年)X元)1.360.170.850.971.19長(zhǎng)期借款739738738738738其他7,6757,7337,7337,7337,733單位：百萬(wàn)元19.0941624917,7211838021,4872021A2022A2023E2024E2025E7568016615013062,7711,6412,3293,1973,501歸屬母公司殷東權(quán)益19,34719,14220,1092121522570凈利潤(rùn)1,3781378279461,16039,19736,19238,49240.09644363折舊攤銷(xiāo)1,8341,9109791017財(cái)務(wù)貨用56147366單位：百萬(wàn)元投資損失-16-233-300-231-2882021A2022A2023E2024E2025E營(yíng)運(yùn)資金變動(dòng)-756-7827411,5091,640營(yíng)業(yè)總收入12,75410.80016.00820285其它-132048同比(%)10.6%-15.3%18.9%24.7%26.7%966-1,488-278-220歸屬母公司凈利潤(rùn)1,3401959671,1061,356資本支出-1,102-728-508-508-507同比(%)295.5%-85.5%395.9%14.4%22.6%長(zhǎng)期投資-550-25-27-26毛利率(%)42.1%38.3%40.4%39.3%38.9%其他1,983-210255314391ROE%6.9%1.0%4.8%52%6.0%8744,8521.180.170.850.971.193,91971000PE16.94116.4623.4920.5316.75借款197197-1-1-1P/B1.171.191.131.071.01-6-67.2012.6010.328.346.164,6074,6832.0452,9703,353