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2023-04-29-西南證券-桃李面包-利潤壓力仍存，期待全年改善

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2023-04-29-西南證券-桃李面包-利潤壓力仍存，期待全年改善
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桃李面包(603866)2023年一季報，點評2022A2023E2024E2025E2022A2023E2024E2025E6686.267458.418304.619241.80640.06734.43838.55953.76營業(yè)成本5082.725648.436258.366922.43折舊與攤銷177.29280.15320.53354.97營業(yè)稅金及冊加73.1882.0491.35101.6611.4939.3937.1236.18銷售貨用542.63604.13680.98771.690.000.000.000.00131.32164.09182.70207.94經(jīng)營營運黃本變動72.30-66.327.10財務貨用11.4939.3937.1236.18其他165.25-9.68-6.08-8.370.000.000.000.001066.39977.981197.221331.13-25.840.000.000.00.499.35300.00.400.00-500.008.3312.7112.0111.63.420.9312.7112.0111.63其他經(jīng)營損益0.000.000.000.00-920.29287.29-387.99-488.37812.34933.041066.111213.53短期借款99.22-88.41.12.370.003.638.027.416.98300.000.000.000.00815.98941.061073.521220.5222.370.000.000.00所得稅175.92206.64234.97266.76支付股利-571.33448.04-514.10-586.98640.06734.43838.55953.76141.01-60.41-37.12-36.180.000.000.000.00-207.17-596.86-563.59-623.16640.06734.43838.55953.7661.0793.82245.64219.602022A2023E2024E2025E2022A2023E2024E2025E貨幣黃金279.10372.92618.56838.16成長能力應收和預付款項593.13668.59741.89824.995.54%11.55%11.35%11.29%存貨202.39224.92247.21274.65營業(yè)利潤增長率-16.22%14.86%14.26%13.83%其他流動黃產(chǎn)376.22383.75393.12403.49-16.14%14.74%14.18%13.74%0.000.000.000.00-10.77%25.12%13.67%12.71%0.000.000.000.003895.433933.514031.204194.46毛利率23.98%24.27%24.64%25.10%無彩資產(chǎn)和開發(fā)支出370.01359.84349.68339.5110.25%10.83%10.85%10.99%905.76897.70889.63881.579.57%9.85%10.10%10.32%6622.046841.237271.297756.85ROE12.73%13.82%14.88%15.89%100.7812.370.000.00ROA9.67%10.74%11.53%12.30%826.78869.73977.931086.07ROIC14.92%16.35%18.09%19.83%長期借款300.00300.00300.00300.0014.97%16.79%17.14%17.36%368.32346.58356.36367.011595.881528.681634.291753.081.061.111.181.23股本1333.101333.101333.101333.102.682.492.482.591423.691423.691423.691423.6912.6113.0912.9112.972324.382610.762935.213301.98存貨周轉率27.1126.4426.4026.385026.165312.555637.006003.77111.02%0.000.000.000.005026.165312.555637.006003.7724.10%22.35%22.48%22.60%6622.046841.237271.297756.85帶息債務感負債37.60%33.47%30.55%28.48%流動比率1.401.701.861.962022A2023E2024E2025E速動比率1.201.471.631.73EBITDA1001.131252.591423.761604.68股利支付率89.26%61.01%61.31%61.54%E30.1626.2823.0220.243.843.633.423.220.480.550.630.72PS2892.592.322.093.773.994.234.50EV/EBITDA18.5014.6212.6811.12每股經(jīng)營現(xiàn)金0.800.730.901.002.96%232%2.66%3.04%每股股利0.430.340.390.44請務必閱讀正文后的重要聲明部分
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